The NZD has been having a rally of late. If you focus on the negative press you might have thought otherwise about holding NZD. The reality is that a weak domestic economy is good for the NZD since it undermines credit growth and domestic consumption, which in turn reduces imports, whilst exports remain resilient. NZ has the benefit of being a food exporter, so it should benefit more in future as we see more general increases in the prices of food. NZ produces little oil so there is some basis for weakness there. NZ is not a great story, but if you are looking for a interest swap (yield) proposition it makes a lot of sense, whether as a carry trade.
----------------------------------------------Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com
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