Recent Trading Results

First, some recent results:Week ending 28-Nov: +23% NAVWeek ending 05-Dec: +08% NAVWeek ending 12-Dec: +10% NAVWeek ending 19-Dec: +45% NAVThis is silly! I'm going to outline some of the events that transpired to help this happen.During the week ending 05-Dec I acquired some AUDJPY positions in the 58.xx price range. I had a nice trend line indicating that this was likely to be a support point

AUDJPY Revisiting Lows

We're down below 63.00 in the AUDJPY market (as I type -- it may bounce).This appears to be a test of the 5+ year low for this pair... google charts. Are we ready for a bounce and the much awaited eventual upward trend?Obviously, I have no idea. However, you can be sure I'm sitting here watching the price action as I type.Right now, we've bounced a bit and are setting up for a possible "tweezer

Forex Carry Trade Bottom?

I'm probably never going to try to call a bottom, but I will point out that there is a difference in behavior since the recent panic drop. Now, we see the Yen based carry pairs bouncing off a resistance point instead of simply dropping as if they are in free-fall.What am I doing about it?I'm glad you asked. My current trading activity involves playing with a bit of a gridding strategy. When

Overnight Trading

As I live in the eastern timezone, I get to trade overnight prior to the NY trading session on the next day.Last night I was able to settle some AUDJPY positions around 96.7, 96.8 or so. At the moment these are nicely profitable while the DOW futures are simultaneously positive.As far as I can tell, the US trading day pushes around the AUDJPY based on stock market movements. By this, I mean

Time To Accumulate A Carry?

The AUDJPY is down around 96.00 at the moment.I've ridden the money train on the way down a couple of times. I don't know if there is a real term for this, but as it goes down, I add new positions as previous ones have profit protected behind a stop loss. When you catch a large down movement using this practice you can put nearly your entire account into play -- while only taking any risk on

USDCAD Is Playing By My Rules

Okay, I've blogged recently about the USDCAD approaching a low.I know there are always skeptics out there, and I'm not trying to sell you anything, but I will suggest that this pair is now fairly easy to trade.When it shows signs of weakness, dropping significantly, buy it. When it approaches parity, sell it. It may or may not be at bottom yet, but nobody really believes that the Canadian

USDCAD Edges Lower

Okay, if we were at bottom a few days ago, it was only a soft bottom!Right now, according to the charts I'm viewing, this pair is trading at 0.9925, which is nearing a penny below parity. I can hardly imagine what such a drastic change in rates, worldwide, truly means to the state of global economic affairs.Perhaps the current administration has done the unthinkable? Perhaps the US predominance

USDCAD Once Again

Okay, I think it is nearly safe to say that the USDCAD has hit bottom.Heh, actually, it's probably not safe to say, but it has certainly found some support at and above the 0.9950 level. I think that the downward pressure from speculators has now eased.I also think the downward jump has been overdone.However, assuming I'm right, and I'm finding that often I am, I don't know how long it will take

Bottom Spotting the USD/CAD

Down and down it goes, where it will stop, nobody knows.Just how low can the USD go compared to the CAD? Parity is an option. Below parity is an option. However, there have to be some fundamentals that come into play here. The amount of trade between the USA and Canada is huge!Traditionally, the USD has always sat above the CAD.Anyway, I'm not sure parity or below is realistic. I'm starting