I dont see an increase in the NZ overnight cash rate. Dont see 50bp rise, more likely they will hold, with a 15% chance of a 0.25% increase. On the negative side (in favour of rate increase):1. New Zealanders dont save2. Need to rein in credit creation in an inflationary setting (ie. real rates are lower)3. Growing inflationary outcomes worldwide - but not recognised by the Fed4. Central banks are...
